FINAL SURVEY

Rotorua Morning Post, Volume 1, Issue 56, 28 October 1931, Page 3

FINAL SURVEY

•ess Assel—

3ritish elections . JIME JfJINISTER'S CHANCES AT SEAHAM CAUSE ANXIETY RY MANY STRAIGHT FIGHTS LABOUR EXPECTS LOSSES

■By Telegraph — Copyright).

LONDON, Monday. rh extent of the co-operation of cties within the Nationalist bloc is jwn in the sweeping reductlon of •ee-cornered fights in the present ction. In 1929 there were only 102 aight fights, Labour winning over ) seats on minority votes. Fuesday will witness 409 straight hts. Thus everyone expeets an easy itionalist victory, but every effort being made to prevent slaekness the poll in order to show the outle world that the sweeping major- ■ of the nation is in favour of sound ance and a balanced Budget. Even the inner council of the Laur Party, it is reported, expeets to je 80 seats. The Stock Exchange eculation has now reached 204, as le rprobable Nationalist majority. Mr. MacDonald faces a difficult sk among the Durham miners. All ve been well-drilled for years in edience to the party machine. Even he receives the whole of the Conrvative and Liberal votes in the nstituency he must in addition dech nearly 12,000 Labour votes to itain a bare majority. Mr. Henderson 111 Mr. Henderson, who is in bed with cold, has not an easy task at Burny, where there is practically a raight fight against Admiral Camp;11, of mystery ship fame. The plans for announcing the rellts of the election at night are iore complete than ever they were. he B.B.C. will broadcast till the nall hours of Wednessday. Many ,rge cinemas in London and the subrbs will keep open late, interspersig pictures with election figures. - At Derby this evening Mr. J. H. homas said he was seeking an oportunity to convene once more a leeting of Dominion representatives ) see if they could not make themilves more dependent on one another nd less dependent on the outside Torld. Optimistic Eorecast The last minute prophecy before ritain's momentous election reveals forecast far more optimistic than nything that has so far appeared. It ; estimated that there will be a clear iovernment majority of 267 and a lonservative majority of 107 over all. 'his is not official, but is authoritaive, following a systematic, organsed analysis of every constituency y the representative of the "Sydney !un"-"Melbourne Herald." Nevertheless it should be regarded n the light of politics and the well:nown uncertainties. If it is accurte the Government suporters would Conservatives 361 Simonites 32 Samuelites 37 National Labour 10 National 1 The latter is Rear-Admiral Campiell, who is styled shnply National, md is expected to beat Mr. Arthur lenderson at Burnley. The Opposition would be: — Labour 162 Lloyd Georgeites 5 Mosleyites 1 Independents 6 Sir Oswald Mosley is likely to bo he new party of one. The forecast suggests that Mr. ilacDonald and Mr. Henderson are 10th in grave danger, but that Sir lerbert Samuel and Sir Donald Maeean are likely to hold their seats.