WEATHER CYCLES.

Dominion, Volume 6, Issue 1651, 18 January 1913, Page 2

WEATHER CYCLES.

LONG DISTANCE FORECASTS. SUN BPOTS AND DROUGHTS. j I (By Telegraph.—Special Correspondent) J i Auckland, January 17. j An interesting visitor to Auckland by ho R.M.S. Maloja this morning, Mas Mr. j Jouglas Archibald, of London, who is ! •ocognised as tho chief exponent of Pro- < essor Bruckner's well-known S5 ycarß ' vcather cjclo. Mr. Archibald is a dis- ■ inguished meteorologist, Fellow and lato ' ftco-Presidont of the Eoyal Motcorologic- ; il Society. i j Interviewed this morning regarding his ! ong-distanco weather forecasts, which f formed tho subject'of recent cables from ■ ■ Sydney, Mr. Archibald 6aid a wrong con- ( struction scenied to havo been placed'on liis remarks. ' "It must bo remembered," ho eaid, "that ; just as in most other long-period oscillations, tho'actual apical epoch, of abundanco folloivs tho middle of tho half oscil- i lation, thus,'■while tho year 1913 rcpro- . sonts ,tho actual probablo middle dato of . the present wot half of tho Bruckner , cycle, tho four or the jears 1913-1317 will \ probably foim tho luslrun of greatest rainfall, and that tho next generally droughty period will not begin until after about 1917. Then I havo no doubt that moro geneial droughts will gradually be- jj come moro pievalent, and the conditions j will again tend to approximate moro and k more to Ihoso which held moro or less I between 3895 and 1900. \ "Tho thirty-five-year oscillation or cyelo \ of weather deducted by Professor Bruck- ; ner," said Mr. Archibald, "i 6 the result & of research woik by tho professor into jj past weal her history, noted in reliable j, records, for over 200 years, and more , generally history dating back in rogaid \ to mere, temperature to the veer HOO- - Professor states that wo havo alternate cyclei of wet and dry weather in waves of 35 } ears' duration each, and his concluswu has been generally accepted by tho scientists of tho world. R I claim tho discovery of a method of weather deduction, whereby tho Bruckner waves, combined with tho eleven-year waves, oi oscillation of tho sun spots, give tho result, and it was thus that I correotly predicted the great Indian famine. I have discovered that tho Bruckner wave or oscillation, being longer, and more especially greater than that of tho sun spots, dominates on weather influence. Take, for instance, tho year just past. Tho 6un spot wavo was at which meant tho driest of weather if it had to,bo taken into consideration alone, but ,it happened that the Bruckner wave was at its minimum, and.this,dominoted the sun spot wave, bringing wet weather, to a certain extent counteracted by tho minimum of the sun spot oscillation, . thus, leading to temporary local droughts. ' From now on tho sun spot oscillation will commence to olimb to its maximum, whilst moro slowly the Bruckner wave will commence to descend to its minimum. The latter will, however, still be on the wot side of tho ledger. In 1915, therefore (the sun_ bpot oscillation having reached its maximum), you will have wet seasons, but by 1917 tho sun spot oscillation will bo on itl way down to minimum ogain, as also will be the Bruckner wave, and it : is then that I prediot' tho beginning of more general drought. From about 1920 to 1924 the drought will probablvbo severe in Australia, and dry conditions will provail in New Zealand, but by 1927 the sun spot oscillation will have aijairi readied its,maximum, and there will bo slightly improved conditions."