TRADE & INDUSTRY

Wairarapa Times-Age, 28 January 1939, Page 5

TRADE & INDUSTRY

THE OUTLOOK IN BRITAIN COUNTRY STRONGER THAN i EVER BEFORE. ?' MR R. McKENNA’S SURVEY. (British Official Wireless.) RUGBY, January 26. Speaking at the annual ■ meeting of the Midland Bank today, Mr Reginald McKenna said that the British monetary system and practice were fitted to cope with the great demands imposed by national necessities. Britain was far stronger than ever before to face any possibilities of financial disturbance that might arise from developments abroad. The financial authorities were now better equipped for the management of the currency, in which they acquired by experience a rising standard of skill. Under the guiding hand of the Treasury, a high degree of co-ordination was being attained between the two major elements in the monetary system—the Bank of England and the commercial banks.

“The business outlook,” went on Mr McKenna, “is still overshadowed by international anxieties, but, just as we have experienced sudden turns for the worse in foreign affairs, so we may yet experience an equally sudden change for the better.

“If this should happily take place, there would be little doubt as to the probability of a marked recovery in business during the coming year. Even as things are I think we may reasonably look for some modest improvement.

“In external trade the Anglo-Ameri-can agreement and the arrangements associated with it mark a big step forward in the direction of a larger volume of free interchange of goods over a greater part of the world. In domestic trade we are probably far from having felt the full effect of the rearmament programme in stimulating output and employment.” Discussing the financial aspect of the rearmament programme, Mr McKenna said that the choice lay between additional taxation and borrowing, or something of each. Additional expenditure by the Government ought, if possible, to be so financed” as to bring into productive activity men and women now out of employment. Taxation would not help in this respect. Borrowing on the other hand under existing conditions would stimulate employment and, as the demand for labour grew, the industrialists would be forced ultimately to draw from the pool of the unemployed. The limit to this policy would obviously be reached when all labour employable at a profit at the current rates of wages was fully engaged, but he considered that they were a long way from that condition at the present. “If it should become clear that rearmament is causing true inflation, as indicated by overemployment and an all-round rise in costs, it will, I think, be probable that restrictive measures will have to become a matter of urgency, but I see no sign of a near approach to that condition,” concluded Mr McKenna.