GERMAN PEOPLE SURE OF A DRAW.

Taranaki Daily News, 25 September 1915, Page 10

GERMAN PEOPLE SURE OF A DRAW.

MR. BELLOC EXPLAINS THEIE MISTAKE.

"The great mass of the enemy is now confident of a draw."

This is a psychological factor, says Mr. Hilairc Belloc in "Land and Water," which will sooner or later react on the enemy's strategy. But, adds Mr, Belloc, the enemy military expert, "knows that with the grand alliance unbroken, the purely military result of the campaign cannot be a, draw.

"Thorc is not the aligheat doubt that if we could hear the private conservation of the higher commanders of the enemy we should discover a frank admission that, Bhort of a real decision before the winter and granted the tenacity of the Allies, defeat is ultimately inevitable for them. . . . But the political effort of Prussia at this moment is the measure of her reliance upon the weariness or disunion of the Allies.

"The enemy's wastage proceeds at about five to six times the rate which can be 1 repaired by recruitment—e.g., Russia has actually ready and trained, though not yet equipped, more men behind her fighting line than all the men she has lost.

"Great Britain has actually ready and trained in the West, though not yet fully equipped, more men than have been lost in every fashion to all the Western Allied forces during the whole war between Switzerland and the sea. Further, Great Britain and Russia have behind these again further fields of recruitment. The enemy has none. "What about equipment and munitions? The enemy has full equipment for his diminishing numbers. Within a certain calculable limit of time known to the higher command of the Allies, all this immense untouched reserve, East and West, will be fully equipped. With every passing week a larger and a larger proportion receive their equipment; the plant for increasing the output is itself rapidly growing, and the neutral suplies of the world are open to the Allies as well.

"It is the same with munitions. Had we stopped cotton going into Germany the war would already htfvc been over.