BY THE S S. DORIC.

Te Aroha News, Volume III, Issue 119, 12 September 1885, Page 5

BY THE S S. DORIC.

The General Election. ' Mr Trevelyan's views on our electoral prospects are worthy of credence. He does not male* haphazardstatements. He was the first to say. what would happen at the general election of 1880, and, when he was challenged, he gave a good account of himself. He now gives us a forecast of the general election" nexfc November. He is not quite so confident as he was.' * The unwisdom which fought the seats of new Ministers in two rural districts has made clearer the danger to the Liberal cause of territorial' ln-' fluence. It may be that the agricultural labour, ers will go.witn the farmers who will vote Tory; Still, says Mr Trevelyan, one of two things must happen. Tho Conservatives cannot gain 100 seats. Put their success where you will it cannot be bo great as that. If they do not gain 100 seats, Mr Parnell will become the rudder on the ship. That is the danger against which he calls upon Englishmen to provide a remedy. Either the Liberals will win with 360 or the Parnellites - will win. A real Conservative victory is out of the question. I have already stated that the Irishmen expect to be the real victors. I have seen elaborate calculations showing how it is to be done, and they look likely enough to make one afraid of them. "Five years of a weak Conservative Administration >r is Mr Parnell'B policy, and I do not think he is likely to be seduced from it by any promises which the Advanced Party may make to him. But the moment it is clearly understood in England that the empire is in danger of being virtually governed by an Irish faction we shall see such a movement of public opinion as will scatter Mr Trevelyan's fear to the winds. The Metropolitan Divisions are causing the Liberal managers no little anxie y, and giving the chief Conservative agents encouragement to fight every seat. For in over a dozen Londonconstituencies the Liberal interest is divided, and it is by no means certain that the list of divisions has reached its limit. In "Walworth Mr A. G. Henriques, Mr J. A. Partridge, who is favored by Mr Chamberlain, and Mr Malthoiise are fighting for the single seat; and in Mile End Dr. Erne3t Hart, who with his wife takes the lead in so many admirable social movements, Mr A. S. Ayrton, and Mr J. S. Haysman are doing the same thing. Sir W. McArthur and Mr Seymour Keay, who holds such strong opinions with regard to Egypt, are in the field for West Newington; the Hon. Howard Spensley and Mr W. Miller, who advocates the nationalisation of the land, are wooing Central Finsbury ; and Mr Lalmohun Ghose, the eloquent exponent of native Indian opinion, and Mr H. Gover are striving to win the suffrages of Deptford. For North Lambeth Sir J. C. Lawrence, the philanthropic alderman, and Mr Wall er Wren are both aspirants : for Poplar Mr H. Green, the shipowner, and Mr B. Lucraft, a working cabinetmaker, who is widely esteemed as a social worker; and for Peckham Mr W. Willis, Q.C., who wants to turn the Bishops out of Parliament, and Mr Dresser Rogers, a big gun in vestrydom. In East Finbury^ Mr Bradlaugh and Mr Marchmant Williams, beside Mr Bowclen Green, of the National Thrift Society, who hoists Independent colours, are dividing the Liberal-Radical vote ; in North Camberwell Mr R. Strong has Miss Ellen Taylor, the stepdaughter of John Stuart Mill, for an opponent, as well as a Conservative candidate; and in Holbovn Mr C. Harrisons position as the Liberal candidate is disputed by Mr Ewing Ritchie. For Stepney, Mr K. Kemp, as well as Mr J. C. Durant, is understood to be before the electors, and in East Islington Mr H. B. Ince, Q.C., who at present represents Hastings, has come forward to endeavour to oust Mr W. McCullagh Ton-ens. There are threatenings of division in other Divisions, the fact being that the caucus is working very badly in London, and there will have to be great' concessions both on the part of Liberals and Radicals before November if several seats are not then handed over to the representatives of Tory minorities owing to Liberal-Radical disunity.