A GERMAN PROPHET.

Taihape Daily Times, Volume 7, Issue 187, 17 April 1915, Page 2

A GERMAN PROPHET.

FORECAST In in the Depeche of an interview which Moulet had with an exalted German parsonage on the* Affairs yof Morbcbo. ' It*l iiFwell worth consideration as a prophecy which has come to curious fulfilment, hv&thi i&Sry. the event. M. Moulet asked how in Germany stood Twith regard to [a pbs“When wp speak of public opinion in Germany,’ Was -the answer, v ”“We ,; "’must give the greatest weight, to what is thought in Germa’n military circles. That is that a war will come/" Not immediately, but after a lapse of time that cannot now be greatly prolonged.” “And with wdiora?” “With England'and ,with you. . . . , In German military circles there is an established conviction that a war between England and Germany is inevitable. It is impossible at this moment. But five years hence Germany means to conquer England at sea and you or land at the same time.” Ho said Germany counted largely on revolts of natives in French colonial possessions, which if necessary Ih* Germans would do everything possible to incite in the Soudan, in Indo-Caina. etc., just as they would try to create revolutions in Russia ami Ind'v. “All this,” he went on. “is the bright side of the picture. But there is the other side. It is not displayed to. view in Germany. I will tell you. In case of a war with France, or, to bo more exact, with what we may call your Triplice, Germany has a whole budget of difficulties and dangers to foresee. They are: — 1. The blo--h'i’v* of the North So? by the ur.Po ’ French and English fleets. 2. The -cation of Denmark. 3. A double revolt in Prussian Poland and in A 1 saco-Lorrn-ino.

4. A war that, ra'glit last r:«; months, and consequently a defensive war on your side on yen r eastern frontier. 5. The appearance on the scene of an English army of 12?-\b00 under Ge • oral French. fi. An attack by an army of 230.00’’ Russians on the east of Prussia. Herr Germany would be content to remain on the defensive wiih three arm; corps. 7. Italy may show little onthusuirm in her share of the struggle. 8. A revolt in Foul h-West Africa. “You said just. now. remarked the intftrviewer.t “« war that might last six .months. Why?” “Because, in that case, Germany would bo driven tn ask for peace. She knows It well. She know? tint if wav went on for mo*-* tV>n s"y months A' 1 would be ruined. In- treasury 'mupty her people decimate.] by want.” “And peace? What would fh-1 cost her:’' “’Pessimists, perhaps wise folk, have worked it out as nearly as possible. The conditions of peace for n vanquished Germany, acording to them, would be these:--“The ieturn of Mete, and Lorraine to France. “The neutralisation of AUacu. tender a pcujco -chosen by ■ Europe. fAThc return of Scales wig'Holstein to Denmark. “An indemnity of 80 millions to France, who would have the Cameroon s snd Tpgoland. , “EnglancP.would take -Genua n East Africa and South-West Africa, . take back Heligoland, and exact six battleships arid twelve cruisers. ‘‘'Russia v. r ould' exact from Austria and Germany an indemnity of 320 millions and considerable recti Station- of frontiers.”- ' y.;. ,;. r ,.. Five ye *rs w ald i ban eutumn of 1013. The prophet was less than _ft year wrong ia his calculation.